The strategy discussed here is focused on individuals who have roughly £5K to £100K
If you have a fund of over £100K then you are probably already have your own strategy and if your fund is much less that £5K, then the amount of money that you will be gaining using these strategies may be too small for the necessary effort.
- The basic ideas is that you take your investment funds and break them up into pots of around about £5K, the total number of pots being dependent upon the total amount available. There is nothing magical or scientific about the £5K size, it is like a 30mph speed limit, experience says that it is a good starting point.
- These pots are then used to purchase shares in a range of solid companies,(FTSE 100, 250 or All Shares but not The AIM) trading at around 30%-50% off from their recent peak price but not "falling knives".
- These pots are then sold when they offer a profit in the range of 5%-15%, meaning that you are selling well below their peak prices and hopefully trading each pot 10 times a year.
- Although these profits sound small, taking them means that at the end of the year there has actually been some growth, rather than none whilst waiting for that "big one".
- Compound growth is the objective, as each investment is slightly larger than the previous one you only need 18 trades,not 25, at 4% to double your original pot.
- The low profit and high trade frequency aims to avoid the much more frequent than you might expect massive share price drops, overnight 20%-40% drops that wipe out the growth from all the other trades.
- History is quite clear, at some point in time there will be a big stock market drop and you need to be able to accept a few years of no growth whilst the market recovers..
- Because of this short term holding has to be aimed at building a pot for retirement rather than for income, so it is best suited to those who have a job or another source of regular income.
If you think this sounds too easy, try it and you will find otherwise. The work involved in doing this is not trivial, expect to spend about two hours a day
on this.This not a get rich quick strategy based on it once worked by luck, it is a disciplined, almost engineering approach.
This approach is contrary to the traditional view that shares should be bought and held for a number of years as I believe that doing this is very risky
for the smaller investor.
The point of going for small profits is that such opportunities are frequent, relatively plentiful and as far as any share dealing can be low risk, these are. Significant growths, those much over 15% are much rarer and generally occur over much longer time frames.
When I started trading I was surprised by the number of apparently safe and stable shares that would drop 20%-40% overnight and then stay at the new lower value for years, it is far more common than you might expect.
Instead I am happy holding shares for a few hours up to about three months
, possibly letting it drag on for 6 months although this would be regarded as a failure.
Despite the short term nature this is not gambling and is very different from CFDs (Contracts For Difference), Spread Betting or Day Trading. There is an objective and if that objective is achieved within a few hours, then so be it, sadly but as you might imagine the few hours is much more of a theory than a reality.
Another "everyone knows" is DYOR (Do You Own Research) when deciding which shares to purchase, it is critical to understand that you have NOT done the necessary research
because you can't.
Probably the final factor to consider is the management ethos
, do you understand the management's motivations and do they match yours? Initially I was staggered by the number of failing companies that had management taking large salaries because "They are worth it." and surviving on new share issues every year.
Now the tough part, when you buy a share you should decide on when you will sell it, but things are looking good and there is more profit if only you wait a bit longer take the profit or loss
Spread sheets can be your enemy here the spread sheet says hold on a bit longer and the numbers will look great, the spread sheet still says that as the share price drops back down and your pot is no bigger.
Finally don't get depressed by the missed opportunities. I've watched Dixons shares rise and the business merge with Carphone Warehouse but it could have been Comet who won out and Dixons who went under